We said it again and again that a roulette game is based on pure random events. For each spin, a number has the same rate (37 to 1 for European roulette, 38 to 1 for American roulette) of coming up as with the last and the one that is going to happen next.
However, as with any event that is happening in real life, a person with a keen eye can still see a pattern that will help him map out the probability of it coming up again. Such is also the case with roulette. There’s no way for someone to predict the outcome of a spin, but given enough data, he still can make what is called the calculus of probability and this is what this post is going to talk about.
The Calculus of Probability
No worries, we won’t be tackling on this most dreaded subject matter at school – calculus. Rather, we will take the gist of the concept and translate it to what we know best – playing roulette. According to the calculus of probability, if a roulette wheel is spun many times, every number will come out as many times as the others.
Testing The Theory
To take advantage of this theory, one must test it for himself. The best way to do this is to play in a roulette casino website which offers free-to-play game session. When you’re there, spin the roulette wheel 37 times. Write down all the numbers that came up. After this, it is now time for you to place your bets.
Bet £13 on the 13 numbers (£1 each) which, according to your data, hasn’t come out within the span of 37 spins or has come out the least. After a spin, if none of the said 13 numbers come out then you will have to bet yet another £13 on the same set of numbers. Again, if after a spin the same thing happens, then your bet will increase to £26. This means you’re betting £2 each number.
With more rounds being played, you’ll notice that the 37 numbers on the roulette wheel (in the case of European roulette) will eventually come out almost as often as when you’re playing a long-term game.
Statistically speaking, in a single-zero roulette, one can expect a number repeat once every 37 pairs of numbers. With that in mind, the 36 numbers will have 35 pairs. This puts the expected number of repeats at 35/37 or .9459.
There’s no telling if this strategy will work for good if a player uses it in a real gameplay setting. One must consider the 37 spins that a player must have to wait out before he can make bets. Some casinos may not take this lightly, although others will allow it. Still, patience is a great factor that must be considered when utilizing this strategy.
Nonetheless, this method works best for novice roulette players who would like to learn more how the game works. Furthermore, this will help them build more confidence as they start to feel more comfortable playing this casino game.