Ball Drop and Roulette Number Bias

Despite the nature of its randomness, a roulette wheel can still exhibit some biases that is more noticeable rather than negligible. However, any casino establishment would try their very best to convince players that their wheels are of an exemption to this rule. They have all the reason to do so because otherwise, if this is discovered, a player might use this information to his advantage, much like a visual tracker would do.

Wheel Randomness

When a roulette wheel is perfectly symmetrical and balanced, it is guaranteed to deliver random results. However, even the finest roulette wheel manufactured with close inspection and monitoring, may still exhibit these kinds of glitches – that is, a bias result.

In the case of a brand new roulette wheel, biases may still occur in due time because of the constant use of the instrument. Like anything else made by hand, a roulette wheel is subject to wear and tear. There are other causes as well, like accidental damages due to mishandling or even deliberate actions.

Again, it is of utmost interest by the casino to keep their profits in the house and not let anyone take it from them. Which is why, casino supervisors are often hot on the heels of players who appear to be “observing” the characteristics of the wheel. Chances are, these people are looking for roulette wheels that manifest bias results.

Ball Drop

Yet another exploitative aspect of a roulette wheel is how the dealer drop off the ball. In some older wheels, the ball has the tendency to skid off the ball track from one spot on the perimeter of the bowl. This could be brought by the warping of the circular track from whence the croupier initially drops off the ball. This portion of the wheel is, after all, made of wood. Thus, warping should be expected. Wear and tear can also be looked at as to why the pill leave the track at a particular spot.

There are times when this phenomenon is hard to notice. But then again, there are people who are quick to point out this anomaly. It is actually useful for players who are way too keen to observe the ball movement.

As with the case of roulette wheel biases, ball drop glitches are a big no no for casinos. Once the management detects this problem of the ball leaving the track from a particular spot, it wouldn’t take too long for them to take out the wheelhead and replace it with a new one.

There are still casinos who would opt to leave them off as it is, however. Just as long as it earns them a steady stream of profit, there’s no reason for them to take the equipment out of service.

Using These Glitches for Own Advantage

In this article, we discussed thoroughly how a player can use these wheel defects to his benefit. We revealed there, the methods on how to pull off this kind of stunt, in case you see a wheel exhibiting this problem.

As with the case of the ball drop, the key here is to spot that specific perimeter of the track where the ball usually slid off. This should help you predict what area of the wheelhead the ball will likely to fall into and to what particular number pocket it will rest.

Roulette and the Gambler’s Fallacy: Are You A Believer or Not?

Man’s success in evolution is in part, affected by his unique perception towards the phenomenon of cyclical events. Almost all of the things important to our survival happens in such a way that it follows a “predictable” pattern. Take for example our food: hunter-gatherers of the primitive times were able to feed themselves because they were able to know that a specific kind of animal would return in this time of the season; farmers, on the other hand, were able to grow, harvest, and stock crops because they also observed the cycle of the season.

This consequently leads us to believe that things which seems to happen randomly in this world is not really… random.

If we noticed a flock of migrating birds gathering at a lake, we would assume right away that soon, they would all fly out towards north because it’s that time of the year for them to do so.

In the same manner, if we get hundred heads in a coin toss, we would think right away that they “gathered together” and a specific event (a tail, perhaps) would likely to happen next.

This way of thinking is called the Gambler’s Fallacy. This “mistaken belief,” however, has long been debunked by people who like to take things as it is.

For the skeptics of the fallacy, with regards to the coin toss scenario, the hundred heads didn’t just happen for a reason. They simply “occur” and each of the tossing events have no direct connection to the last outcome.

By definition, the gambler’s fallacy is a belief that any random process becomes “less random” and more predictable when they repeatedly happen. This phenomenon happens commonly in gambling, hence the attribution of the name.

A specific example would be in the game of craps. A player, having failed to win in a number of rolls, may feel that the dice are now “due” for a certain number and would likely to come up with a favourable result.

Gambler’s Fallacy and Roulette

Another famous example of a gambling fallacy which happens in roulette was back in August 18, 1913 at the Monte Carlo Casino. According to history, a ball fell in Black for 26 times, consecutively. An extremely rare occurrence, gamblers held the belief that at a certain length of series, a Red would eventually come up. In the end, they lost millions in bets for betting against Black.

This further gave rise to the notion among roulette players that if one lose a number of games in a row, he is bound to make a big win “anytime” soon, which is why he needs to keep on playing.

If you come to think of it, the premise somehow makes sense. It is known for a fact that each spin made in a particular round has completely nothing to do with the previous result or the ones that would come next to it in the future. What if during a series of Reds, you followed your guts to bet on a Black. Since the next spin is an independent event, thus there’s an almost equal chance for Black to occur as with Red.

Should You Believe the Gambler’s Fallacy?

To be successful in roulette, one has to keep in mind that roulette, like any casino game relies purely on chances. Unless done illegally, there is no known device or technique that one could use to affect the outcome.

If you ask us, it is better not to bank on the idea in which you have to pile up on loses so that you will get a big win later. Each spin is its own event. Take it as it is. Bet accordingly. This way, you become more of a cautious and mindful roulette player rather than a gambler who puts faith on some unforeseen forces.